"It all depends on whether we can get artificial general intelligence
going and how much of a speed up to progress it can provide.
What are the minimal requirements for general intelligence? Can it be run faster than real time?
In
nature proportionally larger sensory surfaces, aka bigger bodies,
demand proportionally larger brains, although not necessarily
accompanied by greater intelligence. There are examples of creatures
with smaller brains out-competing noticeably larger brains [in measures of intelligence].
But
our new computational technology allows for something impossible in
nature, something akin to extreme encephalization, simple surfaces with
inordinate amounts of processing elements. Extremely simplified
sensory surfaces [simple virtual bodies] can be coupled with large numbers of virtual neuron
like elements. What is the smallest possible virtual brain like
structure capable of human level performance? What are its
computational requirements?
Some have hypothesized that
artificial general intelligence could not only surpass man in all
capability but could run up to 1 million times faster than real time. A
population of super intelligent entities running even 10 times faster
than human, would radically increase the rate of progress, what would
normally take decades might be accomplished in years. [If any of the larger speed ups are possible, it might even be the case that millenia of progress occurs within a matter of hours.]"-source link
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