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My issue is robots and robocars use minuscule amounts of compute yet are doing human and superhuman performance. To me this says human brain is likely in same order of magnitude compute, given things like driving are some of the toughest things humans do. If this hypothesis is true human level and even superhuman level intelligence may only require trivial amounts of compute.
If true that means such compute is easily within the reach of secret military labs without need of vast data centers. And I don't see these labs abiding by any regulation or law. This is without mentioning other planets or civilizations. Some of which may predate us. Some rumors are there are interstellar objects currently within solar system which may have intelligent origin, and if it is intelligent origin, it is conceivably superintelligent origin.
Will also add that some say that in mammals scaling of the cortical algorithm leads to increases in g, and that even human qualitative leap was mostly due to scaling. So, it is conceivable that a similar algorithm or it if discovered could yield superintelligence with just mere scaling.
